{"id":7760,"date":"2015-07-22T05:00:21","date_gmt":"2015-07-22T10:00:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.banishedtothepen.com\/?p=7760"},"modified":"2015-07-22T03:48:58","modified_gmt":"2015-07-22T08:48:58","slug":"checking-in-with-the-astros","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.banishedtothepen.com\/checking-in-with-the-astros\/","title":{"rendered":"Checking in with the Astros"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"lead\">The future is now in Houston.\u00a0 After losing an average of 108 games over three seasons in 2011-2013, the Astros took a big leap forward last year going 70-92.<\/p>\n<p>The pre-season consensus, including <a href=\"http:\/\/www.banishedtothepen.com\/2015-astros-in-a-box\/\">here<\/a>\u00a0at Banished to the Pen, was\u00a0that the Astros would be an exciting team that hit a ton of home runs but would ultimately fall short of the playoffs. \u00a0And that has been mostly true. \u00a0According to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/leagues\/MLB\/2015.shtml\" target=\"_blank\">Baseball Reference<\/a>, the Astros lead baseball in home runs (128),\u00a0strikeouts (857), and isolated power (.170). \u00a0The Astros stormed into 2015 with a late-April 10-game winning streak that saw them take a 7-game lead in the American League West.\u00a0 While they would eventually give up that lead on the last day before the all-star break (courtesy of a 2-8 road trip that coincided with George Springer going on the DL with a broken wrist), the Astros remain neck-and-neck with the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim and seem poised at least to make their first playoff appearance since the 2005 World Series.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>What\u2019s gone right?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Jed Lowrie got injured.\u00a0 How is losing somebody who started the year .300\/.432\/.567 in the first 18 games going right?\u00a0 Because after a Jonathan Villar\/Marwin Gonzalez interregnum in May, the Astros called up #3 overall prospect Carlos Correa to take over the position.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_7761\" style=\"width: 510px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.banishedtothepen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/Carlos-Correa.jpg\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-7761\" class=\"wp-image-7761 \" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.banishedtothepen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/Carlos-Correa.jpg?resize=500%2C333\" alt=\"DENVER, CO - JUNE 17:  Carlos Correa #1 of the Houston Astros watches his two-run home run in the first inning against the Colorado Rockies during Interleague play at Coors Field on June 17, 2015 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Justin Edmonds\/Getty Images) *** Local Caption *** Carlos Correa\" width=\"500\" height=\"333\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.banishedtothepen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/Carlos-Correa.jpg?w=594 594w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.banishedtothepen.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/Carlos-Correa.jpg?resize=375%2C250 375w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-7761\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Justin Edmonds\/Getty Images<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Correa has been as sensational as his pedigree suggests, hitting .290\/.331\/.531 with 8 homers in 35 games.\u00a0 He is 4th among AL shortstops with a 1.8 WAR; and is 2nd only to Toronto\u2019s Devon Travis (2.1) in WAR among rookies (while playing 20 less games).\u00a0 He gets it done with the glove too, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Fangraphs<\/a>\u00a0also\u00a0has him ranked 4th among AL shortstops with a UZR\/150 of 11.6 (though 300 innings is a very small sample size). \u00a0This puts him ahead of the likes of All-Star Jose Iglesias and Didi Gregorius, two players known for their glove.<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 510px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/cdn1.vox-cdn.com\/thumbor\/wMXjbeYrH2_Fkh1cg1MvmwKmUWs%3D\/0x74%3A4000x2741\/730x487\/cdn0.vox-cdn.com\/uploads\/chorus_image\/image\/34619813\/20140619_pjc_sv7_172.JPG.0.jpg?resize=500%2C333&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"333\" \/><p class=\"wp-caption-text\">Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Before breaking his wrist, the Astros moved the excellent Springer to the leadoff position.\u00a0 He thrived, turning in a .264\/.365\/.457 split with 13 home runs and 14 stolen bases.<\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 510px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/media.cmgdigital.com\/shared\/lt\/lt_cache\/thumbnail\/610\/img\/photos\/2015\/07\/15\/6a\/1f\/Dallas_Keuchel_All-Star_Game.jpg?resize=500%2C333\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"333\" \/><p class=\"wp-caption-text\">Rob Carr\/Getty Images<\/p><\/div>\n<p>SP Dallas Keuchel started the All-Star game and has continued to build on a breakout 2014.\u00a0 Keuchel has a microscopic 0.970 WHIP\u2014fueled by an astounding 64% ground ball rate (once again nearly 7% better than the 2nd best in baseball) and an improved K\/9 of 7.9 (1.3 K\/9 better than 2014).\u00a0 He also remains one of baseball\u2019s most durable arms, clocking in with a league best 144.1 IP in 20 starts.\u00a0 Keuchel is getting support from rookie Lance McCullers, who has been excellent in the first 11 starts of his career.\u00a0 McCullers generates 9.9 K\/9, by far the best on the staff.\u00a0 McCullers is 2nd to Keuchel in ERA (2.52) and FIP (2.56).<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>What\u2019s gone wrong?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>George Springer is probably the one player the Astros could not afford to lose this season\u2014and he is gone probably until mid-August or early-September.<\/p>\n<p>First base has been a disaster.\u00a0 Chris Carter was terrific in 2014, but has been awful thus far, with 115 Ks in 287 at bats.\u00a0 While he has 15 HR, a .185\/.300\/.380 line is just not going to cut it in the middle of the order for a playoff contender.\u00a0 The Astros hoped that maybe highly-touted prospect Jon Singleton could fill the void at 1B.\u00a0 Instead, Singleton is showing all the flaws against MLB pitching that were exposed in 2014.\u00a0 Singleton has managed to strike out 15 times in 35 at bats and has yet to hit a home run in 12 games.\u00a0 .171\/.286\/.200 is not going to cut it, and Fox Sports\u2019s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.foxsports.com\/mlb\/video?vid=487007299683\" target=\"_blank\">Ken Rosenthal<\/a>\u00a0has suggested the team might be open to moving him at the deadline.<\/p>\n<p>C Jason Castro has also not been very good at the plate, turning in a suboptimal .206\/.279\/.632 line, though he is still a very good pitch framer, rating 3rd among MLB catchers by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseballprospectus.com\/sortable\/index.php?cid=1819124\" target=\"_blank\">Baseball Prospectus&#8217;s<\/a>\u00a0framing runs added by count.\u00a0 Hank Conger, another outstanding pitch framer, has been getting more playing time recently and is hitting a respectable .233\/.336\/.456.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>What happens next?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>As noted in the season preview, the Astros could use some help at the top of the rotation.\u00a0 Keuchel and McCullers have been amazing, but veteran Collin McHugh has taken a big step back and none of Scott Feldman, Roberto Hernandez, or Brett Oberholtzer are impressing anybody. \u00a0Highly-regarded Vincent Velasquez was called up this week to help bolster the rotation. \u00a0Velasquez had a nice debut in June, scattering 3 hits and striking out 5 in 5 IP. \u00a0In 6 starts, he managed a 8.7 K\/9 with a 1.31 WHIP. \u00a0His ERA (3.94) and FIP (3.65) were decent. \u00a0Velasquez lit up AA this year, striking out 12.6 per nine while giving up just 0.911 WHIP. \u00a0But both Belasquez and McCullers are likely to be on limited innings, and so the team will still need another reliable starter.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The Astros also have two huge holes in the lineup at first base and to replace the injured Springer.\u00a0 I think the Astros will be active at the deadline, and have been tied to the likes of Cole Hamels, Justin Upton, and James Shields.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The future is now in Houston.\u00a0 After losing an average of 108 games over three seasons in 2011-2013, the Astros took a big leap forward last year going 70-92. The pre-season consensus, including here\u00a0at Banished&#8230;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.banishedtothepen.com\/checking-in-with-the-astros\/\" class=\"more-link\" title=\"Read \nChecking in with the Astros\">Read more &raquo;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[781,342],"tags":[131],"coauthors":[592],"class_list":["post-7760","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-2015-1st-half-reviews","category-features","tag-houston-astros"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Checking in with the Astros - Banished to the Pen<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"http:\/\/www.banishedtothepen.com\/checking-in-with-the-astros\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Checking in with the Astros - Banished to the Pen\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The future is now in Houston.\u00a0 After losing an average of 108 games over three seasons in 2011-2013, the Astros took a big leap forward last year going 70-92. 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